5.0 FORESTRY

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Key points
  • The plantation forest resource in the District is approximately 35 000 ha at 30 June 1994, 57% of which is less than 16 years old. It is largely radiata pine.
  • Over 90% of the resource is controlled by corporate, investor or large private growers.
  • Production forestry generated over 120 FTEs of employment in 1994 but only 20-30% of these were captured by local people.
  • Of over $6.3 million in direct expenditure on those forests in the 1993/94 year, only just over 25% was spent in the District.
  • Continued expansion of the plantation resource is planned by corporate and investor growers with holdings in the District. A "likely" planting rate scenario is developed in this chapter.
5.1 Statistical Database

Statistical data concerning the area and potential yield of production forestry in the Wairoa District has been sourced from the Ministry of Forestry's National Exotic Forest Description (NEFD) and supplemented by data provided by forest growers.

The NEFD is updated annually as at 1 April, and data used in this report are as at 1 April 1994. Preliminary aggregated information for the 1994 planting year is included as provided by the forest companies but does not include an estimate of private grower planting. The NEFD steering committee estimate that the survey data they collect accounts for 92.7% of the total forest resource across the country; the remaining 7.3% is held by private growers as woodlots smaller than 100 ha. An estimate of the total size by regional authority is made using Statistics New Zealand=s annual Agricultural Survey. It is recognised that survey provides quite variable information about farm forest plantings year to year, and that the adjusted area may still be an underestimate, particularly where there are a large number of small growers, e.g. Gisborne District, where the Ministry of Forestry advise that the actual total area may be in excess of 100 000 ha (P.Gorman, pers. comm.). The number of small growers in Wairoa District is relatively small, so estimates are likely to be significantly more accurate than those for Gisborne.

Table 5.1 NEFD description of the East Coast/Hawke's Bay plantation resource
Territorial authority Area by direct capture (ha) Area adjustment (ha) Estimated total area (ha)
Gisborne District

Wairoa District

Hastings District

Napier City

Central HB District

84 235

29 626

39 719

148

3 154

4 935

1 678

2 781

121

3 647

89 170

31 304

42 500

269

6 801

Total 156 882 13 162 170 044

Detailed data on employment and expenditure in the District has also been provided by the major forest growers and used in an aggregated form in this report.

5.2 Planted Forest Areas

The Wairoa District forest resource totals approximately 35000 ha (NEFD at 1 April 1994, plus estimated 1994 planting), covering stands aged from 0 to 67 years.

The resource is based on two former State Forests that were established largely during the 1960s and 1970s in an expansionary phase of State planting. Patunamu Forest, the cutting rights to which are now owned by Juken Nissho Ltd, is the oldest State Forest on the east coast of the North Island. It covers approximately 4000 ha, with a relatively even spread of stands between 1 and 34 years of age. Mohaka forest is significantly larger, at approximately 12 600 ha, and has a more bell-shaped spread of ages, approximately 60% of stands were planted in a 10-year period between 1975 and 1985. The rate of planting peaked between 1979 and 1981 at just over 900 ha/annum. The cutting rights for Mohaka Forest are now owned by Hawke's Bay Forests Ltd (HBFL, formally Oji Sankoku Forests Ltd) and managed by Carter Holt Harvey Forests (CHHF), also significant forest owners in their own right.

The 10 300 ha of forest estate on freehold and leased or joint-venture land is in a variety of ownerships. Significant owners include public forest company Nuhaka Forest Farms and recent investor partnerships. Those promoted by Roger Dickie alone total 6700 ha at 31 December 1994. The forest resource is disaggregated by owner type in Table 5.2. In summary, plantation forestry in Wairoa is dominated by the major growers, investor partnerships and companies and a small number of large private growers. The areas of plantation trees on most pastoral farms are small and scattered. The reasons for this are varied, but include historical discouragement and controls on plantation forestry by municipal authorities, which reflected conservative attitudes to forestry, and the relatively high profitability of pastoral farming in the District.

The distribution of forests by ownership is illustrated in Map 4.

Forest Ownership
(click thumbnail for full map)

Table 5.2 Wairoa planted forests by grower type
Forest growers Estimated total area at 1.04.94 (ha)
Corporate forest growers

Investor partnerships / Nuhaka F&F

Small growers

23 400

4 500

1 700

Total 29 600

The age class distribution of forests in Wairoa (Table 5.3) illustrates a maturing resource with relatively even age classes from 1 to 20 years in age. From this profile harvesting rates could be expected to increase steadily in the coming 10 years, reaching a relatively stable level thereafter. Sixty-four percent of forest is less than 16 years old.

Table 5.3 Wairoa planted forests by five-year age classes (at 1 April 1994)
Territorial authority Plantation size class (hectares)

1 - 5

6 - 10

11 - 15

16 - 20

21 - 25

26 - 30

31 - 35

36 - 40

40 +

Total


Gisborne


23 903


17 569


19 211


14 069


5916


2726


807


4


30


84 235


Wairoa


3897


5843


9104


6207


2535


1093


577


298


72


29 626


Hastings


6833


5253


6985


9874


8511


1597


312


274


80


39 719


Central HB


755


478


32


405


515


41


217


213


203


3154

5.3 Production

Our estimate of the total volume of wood harvested in the Wairoa District in 1994 from returns provided by forest growers and log exporters is 115 000 m3. This is expected to be exceeded by 15 000 m3 in 1994 as a result of the major windblow in November 1994 before falling to approximately current levels in 1995 and 1996. Forest growers are then forecasting a gradual increase to 180 000 m3/annum in the period 1997-99. Modelling of the District resource suggests the sustainable harvest level could then rise to 360 000 m3/annum from 2000 to 2004. From 2005 the significant State plantings of the 1970s come to maturity, and the harvest has the potential to increase up to 800 000 m3/annum through until 2024, after which forests currently being planted will come into production.

Table 5.4 Forecast forest harvest yields in Wairoa District 1995-2024

Mean annual forecast cut by 5-year lustra (000 m3)

1994 1995/99 2000/04 2005/09 2010/14 2015/19 2020/24
120 160 360 650 830 800 650

These increases are supplied from the combined resources of CHHF/HBFL, JNL and Nuhaka Farm Forests. JNL have publicly stated that all wood flows from their forests would be committed to processing through their Gisborne or Masterton mills. All unpruned sawlogs and pulp logs from HBFL forests and some of the pulp logs from CHHF forests are currently being processed at the Pan Pacific Forest Industries (NZ) Ltd (Pan Pac) sawmill/pulp mill complex north of Napier. These commitments are long term and are likely to continue.

With forecast increases in total sustainable log production in Hawke's Bay from 0.8 million cubic metres to 1.5 million cubic metres around the turn of the century (Turland et al. 1993) there will be the potential for expansion of the Pan Pac site or construction of a new remanufactured board mill based on lower-grade logs. Given the high cost of transporting low-grade logs, Wairoa may have some competitive advantages for the construction of such a mill. HBFL's current expansion plans are, however, focused on the present site (B. Keating, CHHF, pers. comm.).

The future of local sawmilling will be largely dependent on small volumes supplied from private growers. Pruned sawlogs from the CHH/HBFL resource are currently sold to independent processors primarily in Wairoa and elsewhere in Hawke's Bay. The pruned log supply is expected to increase slowly until the turn of the century, when it will be over 30 000 m3/annum increasing to over 50 000 m3/annum from approximately 2005. This resource provides some opportunities for niche marketing from small-scale, highly efficient local mills.

5.4 Employment

Production forests currently contribute at least 120 full-time equivalents of employment, according to survey returns from the major forest growers. Only 25-30% of these are captured within the District (Tables 5.5 and 5.6). At least 76 people were directly employed on forestry work in the District in 1994, although much of this work was on contract and constituted only part of the work-load for individuals over the year. Seven of these people were full-time staff with forest companies. The available work was relatively evenly spread between establishment, tending and harvesting.

Table 5.5 Staff employed by forest companies operating in the Wairoa District
Type Total Wairoa Resident Outside residents
Management 10.0 0 10.0
Support/clerical 8.1 0 8.1
Silviculture 10.1 2.1 8.0
Harvesting 2.8 1.0 1.8
Establishment 9.3 2.6 6.7
Roading/Engineering 1.8 1.3 0.5
Other 1.2 0 1.2
TOTAL 43.3 7.0 36.3
Table 5.6 Contract forestry employment in the Wairoa District, 1994
Work type Total 1994/95 Work crews (number) Wairoa residents employed
(days) (total) (Wairoa) (outside)
Fencing 156 3 2 1 ?
Scrub cutting 1518 3 2 1 ?
Burning 416 3 3 0 ?
Planting 1938 11 3 8 25
Weed control/fert. 793 2 0 2
ST ESTAB. 8571 22 10 12 25+
Pruning 3760 9 5 4 28
Thinning 940 3 0 3 0
ST TENDING 6700 12 5 7 28
Logging/loading 7350 4 2 2 10
Transport 2646 9 0 9 1
Roading 1041 2 1 1 3
ST HARVESTING 11 037 15 5 10 14
Pest control 701 2 2 0 2
TOTAL 27 009 51 22 29 69+

The labour requirement profile of forestry, which is a multi-year crop, is substantially different from that of pastoral farming, which operates on annual cycles. Although it can be influenced by silvicultural decisions and changing technology the demand for labour can be roughly plotted from the time of establishment to felling. Responses to our survey from forest growers suggest that the following labour estimates are appropriate for forest growing conditions in the Wairoa District (Table 5.7).

Table 5.7 Forestry operational labour requirements (Wairoa District)
Operation Crop age (years) Person days / ha
Scrub cutting

Burning

Planting

Weed control/fertiliser

Pruning

Thinning

Logging/loading

Transport

Roading

0

0

1

1

4, 6, 8, 10

4, 10

28-35

28-35

0, 27

1.5 - 3.5

0.1 - 0.3

0.5 - 1.85

0.2 - 0.5

2.0 - 3.2

0.7 - 2.0

20- 30

8 - 9

1 - 3

5.5 Forestry Direct Expenditure

Direct expenditure on the major forests in the Wairoa District exceeded $6.3 million in the 1993/94 financial year. Just over 25% of this was spent in the Wairoa District. Of this $1.6 million, $0.27 million was spent on machine time for roading and tracking and on chemicals. Approximately $0.62 million (just over 10% of the total) was spent on labour-intensive operations, mainly scrub cutting, pruning and thinning, and $0.68 million on the more capital-intensive operations of logging and aerial weed control.

Table 5.8 Direct forestry expenditure on major forests in the Wairoa District
Forest operation Expenditure 1993/94 ($000)
(Wairoa) (Outside)
Fencing 8 0
Scrub cutting 27 200
Burning 5 0
Planting 0 471
Contract quality control 13 8
Machine time 188 0
Seedlings 0 493
Other 20 0
Weed control - application 15 187

-chemicals

1 142
ST ESTABLISHMENT 349 1615

Pruning

372 309

Thinning

92 16
ST TENDING 464 325

Logging/loading

665 1977

Transport

0 417

Roading

81 356
ST HARVESTING 746 2749

Repairs/maintenance.

7 6

Rates

41 11

Power

7 0
TOTAL 1614 4705

Clearly there are some purchases which will always occur outside the district, e.g. chemicals such as herbicide and major capital items, but there are a range of items (e.g. seedlings) and services which could be provided from within the District.

In 1993/94 approximately $1.2 million of expenditure ($0.86 million in establishment, $0.32 in tending) was on services for which skilled Wairoa-based contractors would have significant competitive advantage owing to reduced transport costs. An additional $2.3 million is spent outside the District on harvesting contracts. Although it is more difficult to develop "home-grown" contractors in this field because of the capital investments required, harvesting contractors have a relatively high turn-over rate and regularly require skilled operators or bushmen. Forest companies prefer their staff and contractors to live locally. Log transport and road construction and maintenance are also areas in which Wairoa-based contractors could be competitive.

5.6 Forecast New Planting Rates 1995-2000

Major forestry growers were asked to forecast new planting rates in the District. Although all companies indicated that a variety of factors would influence new planting rates, and that it was not possible to forecast with any confidence, the following publicly available information has allowed us to make some tentative forecasts.

  1. Juken Nissho Ltd have stated an intention to expand their East Coast resource by 30 000 ha over the next 30 years. With their current resource spread between Wharerata just over the District northern boundary and Patunamu in the heart of the District, a substantial proportion of the company's new planting could sensibly be in the Wairoa District.
  2. Private investment partnerships and companies have been planting 2000-3500 ha per annum over the past 2 years, and have some area purchased available for planting in 1995. Some industry commentators have forecast a slow-down in private investment, given the decline in log prices from a peak in late 1993. Steady demand, although at a lower level from present, is forecast. The size of the resource already established in the District gives economies of scale in focusing new plantings in the District. Land prices rose significantly in 1993 and 1994, but remain lower than in other parts of Hawke's Bay and Gisborne that are a similar distance to processing facilities.
  3. CHHF have expressed interest in additional land for new establishment, and this may be an indication of an expansionary programme.

From this analysis we have prepared the following forecast of new planting rates. Although hypothetical, it forms a scenario for analysis of the future impacts of afforestation that is based on the best information at present available.

Year Area planted
1994 (estimated actual) 5200 ha
1995 (forecast) 3500 ha
1996 2500 ha
1997-1999 2000 ha
2000-2024 1600 ha/annum

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