2.0 Objectives and Terms of Reference

2.1 Aim of Research

(i) To develop possible scenarios that could face farmers and growers following a volcanic eruption, and the steps that could be taken to bring land back into production.

(ii) To discuss a possible institutional framework for handling such a post-event recovery.

2.2 Tasks

2.2.1 Discuss briefly the volcanic hazard in New Zealand, and the most likely scenarios with respect to possible future eruptions.

2.2.2 Discuss briefly potential volcanic impact other than ash fall, e.g. lava flows, pyroclastic flows, on agriculture in New Zealand.

2.2.3 Discuss the degree of damage/destruction likely to be caused by increasing layers of ash - up to 25 mm, 50mm, 100mm, 500mm, and 2 metres on different production systems:

    Pasture
    Arable Crops
    Permanent trees / vine crops
    Production forestry

2.2.4 Discuss the likely physical and chemical nature of the ash.

2.2.5 Discuss possible management strategies to rehabilitate the land with respect to the above ash layers and production systems.

2.3.6 Discuss possible time horizons with respect to 2.2.3 above.

2.2.7 Discuss priorities for action with respect to:

    (i) Farmers and Growers
    (ii) Government and Government agencies

2.2.8 Discuss possible "institutional" framework (i.e. process/structure) whereby all interested parties (e.g. Central/Regional/Local Government, CRI's, land owners, agri-business) can co-ordinate efforts and set priorities.

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